Shop for Chicago Bears gear at Fanatics.com

Mike Martz’s Odds of Success

Now that the Chicago Bears have picked up offensive mastermind Mike Martz, the team’s hopes are running high. However, some are pressing the pause button here on the celebration.

Sure, the Bears’ offense is a few completed passes (to the WR and not DB) away from competing with Green Bay and Minnesota, but we all know that coaches and coordinators can only provide so much scheming to players before the players have to show and prove on the field.

Before completely falling out with the St. Louis Rams, Martz was one of the most respected coaches in the league. Long before putting together The Greatest Show on Turf and appearing in two Super Bowls with a team no one thought would amount to anything minus Trent Green, Martz was but a lowly on-again, off-again positions coach in the NLF and an assistant coach at Arizona State University.

After taking over as quarterbacks coach for the Rams when they were still a Los Angeles team in 1992, Martz eventually landed in Washington coaching the Redskin’ quarterbacks. In 1999, Martz was brought back in as an offensive coordinator and took over the head coaching reins in 2000. 

As luck would have it, just like he hit the $5-million progressive jackpot playing online slots machines, St. Louis’ offensive prowess matched up perfectly in synch with Martz’s brand of spread-the-field ball. He introduced the RB as a 5th option WR and tore defenses apart en route to pure dominance for a few years.

But, like online black jack gambling, he eventually busted out when the talent pool ran dry.

See, it’s a dirty little secret in the NFL that a head coach—any coach—is only as good as his players. Management doesn’t want to hear that. Media doesn’t respect that. But it’s the cold, hard truth. Once the talent goes, you can’t win with a B-team. This isn’t a Hollywood movie; this is real life.

Luckily for Martz, the Chicago Bears are not the Detroit Lions. And after helping the San Francisco 49ers open up their offense last year, the Bears now get to play the recipients of Martz’s football philosophy.

The Bears have plenty to work with in terms of talented offensive players. Jay Cutler, Chester Taylor (which also hits the Vikings hard), Devin Aromashodu, Devin Hester, Johnny Knox, and Greg Olsen – they’re not short on solid players.

 The benchmark for judgment here has to be lower due to the NFC North, though. You can’t simply pass or fail Martz on a Bears’ playoff hit or miss alone. You still have the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings to contend with – two of the NFL’s best, much less the NFC’s.

Instead, you have to look at improvement. Will the Bears’ offense be better this year, more potent and higher-scoring? It looks like it’s a yes in the odds department, with Mike coming in at about 5:3 on turning the offense around.

Conceivably, three teams from the NFC North can make the playoffs, so there’s no reason to think an improved Bears squad wouldn’t make the final grade.

You might find kinder odds if you play online casino roulette than you’d find betting on the Bears to win their division, but they definitely have the talent in place to make the postseason, and the addition of Martz certainly bodes well for their chances.


Enjoyed this post?
Subscribe to Bears Gab via RSS Feed or E-mail and receive daily news updates from us!

Submit to Digg  Stumble This Story  Share on Twitter  Post on Facebook  Post on MySpace  Add to del.icio.us  Bark It Up  Submit to Reddit  Fave on Technorati

Leave a Reply

Write For Us